Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.516608 0.592023 0.673837 0.769086 0.876827 0.994814 1.133711
2025-02-23 0.395951 0.496414 0.614632 0.763594 0.945845 1.161103 1.434141
2025-03-02 0.310380 0.422703 0.565085 0.757832 1.010846 1.330423 1.763285
2025-03-09 0.253643 0.372845 0.534618 0.768368 1.095281 1.533678 2.163021
2025-03-16 0.205159 0.323996 0.495881 0.759703 1.150779 1.704613 2.542577
2025-03-23 0.174888 0.294991 0.479118 0.777633 1.243914 1.937195 3.036216
2025-03-30 0.145278 0.260985 0.448475 0.768590 1.293788 2.110920 3.463482
2025-04-06 0.125664 0.239330 0.433170 0.780206 1.375613 2.340803 4.001797
2025-04-13 0.104696 0.211166 0.402026 0.759841 1.400812 2.481600 4.411880
2025-04-20 0.094155 0.199988 0.398406 0.786014 1.507472 2.767019 5.091189
2025-04-27 0.085825 0.191439 0.397985 0.817329 1.626231 3.084724 5.858361
2025-05-04 0.076281 0.178587 0.387159 0.826919 1.705247 3.339264 6.538579
2025-05-11 0.066799 0.164305 0.371674 0.825922 1.765525 3.569189 7.204856
2025-05-18 0.058835 0.151868 0.358019 0.826605 1.829100 3.812171 7.922003
2025-05-25 0.051795 0.140184 0.344075 0.824507 1.886477 4.048966 8.651866
2025-06-01 0.046832 0.132561 0.337951 0.838527 1.979294 4.365675 9.572339
2025-06-08 0.041168 0.121990 0.323230 0.830754 2.023480 4.587007 10.320427
2025-06-15 0.037823 0.116885 0.320795 0.851294 2.133232 4.956606 11.413425
2025-06-22 0.033381 0.107807 0.306951 0.842102 2.173168 5.179623 12.214701
2025-06-29 0.030506 0.102636 0.302320 0.855168 2.267174 5.530852 13.329259
2025-07-06 0.026545 0.093335 0.285105 0.833229 2.273186 5.683831 14.015602
2025-07-13 0.024943 0.091062 0.286891 0.861922 2.408926 6.149224 15.457337
2025-07-20 0.023648 0.089522 0.290519 0.896164 2.562891 6.672180 17.080022